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Stadium Background

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Stadion Miejski, Tarnobrzeg
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Urbanski M.
Own Goal
9'
Popielec C.
12'
Czerech P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
20%
Draws
47%
Zaglebie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaglebie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg's 1.68 goals per match outpaces what Zaglebie have produced (1.21).
  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Zaglebie, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Zaglebie have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Clean Sheet 20%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siarka Tarnobrzeg Zaglebie
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Polish Cup
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie
3:2
May 26, 1996 Ekstraklasa
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Zaglebie
2:3
Nov 4, 1995 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Peciak P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kromka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Michalski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 36 / 100
Zaglebie 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siarka Tarnobrzeg Zaglebie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Zaglebie conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siarka Tarnobrzeg VS Zaglebie
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

(Home)
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0
Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 7

Zaglebie

(Away)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
07 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 1
Zaglebie
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -