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Siauliai vs Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015 Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
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Match Events

11' Event
Godin A.
30'
Godin A.
46'
Sub
Rapalavicius T. In: Sesplaukis D.
Out: Rapalavicius T.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this A Lyga 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Siauliai
15%
Draws
46%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zalgiris have won more games recently than Siauliai.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular A Lyga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zalgiris have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Siauliai Clean Sheet 17%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siauliai Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 5 30
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.03 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs Zalgiris
1:4
Aug 1, 2015 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Siauliai
5:0
May 11, 2015 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs Zalgiris
1:6
Mar 13, 2015 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Siauliai
3:2
Sep 21, 2014 TOPLYGA
Siauliai vs Zalgiris
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Godin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Sernas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Semberas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siauliai 31 / 100
Zalgiris 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siauliai Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Siauliai scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Zalgiris has conceded goals in 60% of their last 47 outings.

Siauliai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siauliai

(Home)
28 Nov
Siauliai
3 : 0
Granitas Klaipeda
22 Nov
Utenis
3 : 2
Siauliai
08 Nov
Riteriai
4 : 0
Siauliai
31 Oct
Suduva
5 : 0
Siauliai
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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