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Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Polev A.
44'
Balashov K.
44'
Redkovich D.

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sibir Novosibirsk
33%
Draws
40%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk have won more games recently than Kaluga.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kaluga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sibir Novosibirsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 20%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sibir Novosibirsk Kaluga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
3:0
Apr 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvekveskiri D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sibir Novosibirsk 28 / 100
Kaluga 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sibir Novosibirsk Kaluga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kaluga let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Sibir Novosibirsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sibir Novosibirsk VS Kaluga
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110