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Sichuan Minzu vs Xiamen Egret Island

China China

Yi League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Liu Jianye
(Penalty)
39' Event
Yang Yang

AI Match Summary

The Yi League 2021 game between Sichuan Minzu and Xiamen Egret Island finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sichuan Minzu
40%
Draws
29%
Xiamen Egret Island
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xiamen Egret Island come out ahead of Sichuan Minzu on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sichuan Minzu Clean Sheet 20%
Xiamen Egret Island Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sichuan Minzu Xiamen Egret Island
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2021 League Two
Xiamen Egret Island vs Sichuan Minzu
1:0
Jun 4, 2021 League Two
Sichuan Minzu vs Xiamen Egret Island
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sichuan Minzu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Yang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Xiamen Egret Island Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sichuan Minzu 32 / 100
Xiamen Egret Island 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sichuan Minzu Xiamen Egret Island

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Sichuan Minzu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sichuan Minzu's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Defensive concern: Xiamen Egret Island conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sichuan Minzu VS Xiamen Egret Island
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanxi Longjin1495025:832
2Guangxi Pingguo Haliao1484229:1128
3Shijiazhuang Gongfu1482418:1026
4Xian Wolves1464420:1222
5Shaoxing Keqiao Yuejia1453614:1618
6Inner Mongolia1441916:2013
7Dandong Tengyue1434712:2913
8Hubei Istar1411123:314
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qingdao Hainiu1494125:531
2Foshan Nanshi1474318:1025
3Hebei Zhuoao1457217:922
4Wenzhou Professional1457213:1122
5China U201456317:1521
6Wuxi Wugou1442813:1814
7Shaanxi Beyond142487:1810
8Kunming Zheng He Shipman14041010:344
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Jiading Huilong1492319:829
2Xiamen Egret Island1484221:928
3Qingdao West Coast1482425:1526
4Sichuan Minzu1464417:1122
5Quanzhou Yassin1452710:1517
6Qingdao Red Lions1443712:1715
7Hunan Billows144378:1915
8Yanbian Longding1404106:244