Sport Picks
Sidama Bunna vs Dire Dawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
72'
72'
Yalew A.
90'
90'
90'
90'
Yalew A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Sidama Bunna in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sidama Bunna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sidama Bunna lately — more wins on the board than Dire Dawa.
- Sidama Bunna are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Dire Dawa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Dire Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Dire Dawa
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Sidama Bunna
0:0
Jun 12, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Dire Dawa
1:1
Dec 3, 2024 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Sidama Bunna
3:1
Jun 27, 2024 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Sidama Bunna
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Yalew A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Dire Dawa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sidama Bunna 51 / 100
Dire Dawa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sidama Bunna Dire Dawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sidama Bunna found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Dire Dawa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sidama Bunna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sidama Bunna VS Dire Dawa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sidama Bunna
(Home) 13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 3
Dire Dawa
(Away) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
20 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
29 Apr
Adama City
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
