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Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Ethiopia Cup
Tue, May 26, 2026
3 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Tafesse M.
41' Event
Erbo A.
76' Event
Erbo A.

AI Match Summary

The Ethiopia Cup game between Sidama Bunna and Ethiopian Insurance finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sidama Bunna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sidama Bunna
17%
Draws
13%
Ethiopian Insurance
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sidama Bunna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sidama Bunna come out ahead of Ethiopian Insurance on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Sidama Bunna taking it.
  • Cup games in Ethiopia Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidama Bunna Ethiopian Insurance
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Ethiopia Cup
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
3:2
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:1
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Sidama Bunna
1:1
May 28, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Sidama Bunna
3:0
Oct 22, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sidama Bunna Compare

Top Goalscorer Tafesse M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bayeh Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ethiopian Insurance Compare

Top Goalscorer Erbo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidama Bunna 77 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidama Bunna Ethiopian Insurance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sidama Bunna scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Ethiopian Insurance let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sidama Bunna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sidama Bunna VS Ethiopian Insurance
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Negele Arsi Ketema FC1
Sidama Bunna2
Bench Maji Bunna FC0
Ethiopian Insurance2
Mechal SC0
Welwalo Adigrat1
Boditi Ketema SC2
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC3
Semi-finals
Sidama Bunna3
Ethiopian Insurance2
Welwalo Adigrat1
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC0
Final
Sidama Bunna0
Welwalo Adigrat2