Sport Picks
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
Ethiopia
Ethiopia Cup 
Match Events
22'
22'
Tafesse M.
41'
41'
Erbo A.
76'
76'
Erbo A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sidama Bunna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sidama Bunna come out ahead of Ethiopian Insurance on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Sidama Bunna taking it.
- Sidama Bunna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sidama Bunna, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Ethiopian Insurance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 26, 2026 Ethiopia Cup
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
3:2
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:1
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Sidama Bunna
1:1
May 28, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Sidama Bunna
3:0
Oct 22, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Tafesse M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bayeh Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Ethiopian Insurance Compare
Top Goalscorer Erbo A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sidama Bunna 77 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sidama Bunna Ethiopian Insurance
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sidama Bunna's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Ethiopian Insurance has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Sidama Bunna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sidama Bunna VS Ethiopian Insurance
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sidama Bunna
(Home) 13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopian Insurance
(Away) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
30 May
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
26 May
Sidama Bunna
3 : 2 Ethiopian Insurance
15 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1
Sidama Bunna 2
Bench Maji Bunna FC 0
Ethiopian Insurance 2
Mechal SC 0
Welwalo Adigrat 1
Boditi Ketema SC 2
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 3
Semi-finals
Sidama Bunna 3
Ethiopian Insurance 2
Welwalo Adigrat 1
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 0
Final
Sidama Bunna 0
Welwalo Adigrat 2
