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Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hossana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Wamisho D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Sidama Bunna and Hadiya Hossana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hadiya Hossana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sidama Bunna
35%
Draws
30%
Hadiya Hossana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hadiya Hossana haven't matched Sidama Bunna's recent run of results.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Hadiya Hossana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidama Bunna Hadiya Hossana
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.16 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hossana
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Sidama Bunna
0:2
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Hadiya Hossana
1:1
Dec 9, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Sidama Bunna
3:2
Apr 14, 2024 Premier League
Hadiya Hossana vs Sidama Bunna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sidama Bunna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hadiya Hossana Compare

Top Goalscorer Wamisho D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidama Bunna 41 / 100
Hadiya Hossana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidama Bunna Hadiya Hossana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidama Bunna scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Hadiya Hossana has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sidama Bunna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sidama Bunna VS Hadiya Hossana
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sidama Bunna

(Home)
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0
Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0
Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1
Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 7

Hadiya Hossana

(Away)
03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0
Hadiya Hossana
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1
Dire Dawa
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1
Hadiya Hossana
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Fasil Kenema
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1
Hadiya Hossana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sidama Bunna 38 19 11 8 43:23 68
2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 38 15 15 8 37:30 60
3 Mechal SC 38 14 15 9 44:31 57
4 Fasil Kenema 38 14 13 11 28:28 55
5 Ethio Electric S.C. 38 13 15 10 32:26 54
6 St. Georges 38 14 12 12 33:31 54
7 Welayta Dicha 38 11 18 9 37:31 51
8 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 38 13 12 13 40:39 51
9 Hawassa 38 12 14 12 37:32 50
10 Sheger Ketema FC 38 11 17 10 34:31 50
11 Bahir Dar Kenema 38 9 21 8 28:28 48
12 Hadiya Hossana 38 11 15 12 31:35 48
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38 11 14 13 45:45 47
14 Ethiopian Insurance 38 10 16 12 30:31 46
15 Adama City 38 10 16 12 35:39 46
16 Welwalo Adigrat 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
17 Shire Endaselassie 38 9 15 14 24:32 42
18 Dire Dawa 38 9 15 14 27:41 42
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 38 8 16 14 26:38 40
20 Arba Menche 38 7 14 17 30:46 35
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)