Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Tewoldebrhan F.
40'
40'
Gugsa C.
51'
51'
Hagos G.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Sidama Bunna and Mechal SC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mechal SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sidama Bunna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sidama Bunna carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sidama Bunna are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Mechal SC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Mechal SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Mechal SC
1:3
Nov 26, 2025 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Sidama Bunna
1:2
May 8, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Mechal SC
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Sidama Bunna
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Mechal SC
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Tewoldebrhan F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Mechal SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Gugsa C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hagos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sidama Bunna 86 / 100
Mechal SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sidama Bunna Mechal SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Sidama Bunna found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Sidama Bunna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Mechal SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sidama Bunna VS Mechal SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sidama Bunna
(Home) 13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 4
Mechal SC
(Away) 03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
19 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Mechal SC
09 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 1 Mechal SC
29 Apr
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1 Mechal SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
