Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Sidama Bunna

1 - 1

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Boka B.

45'

Berhane B.

76'

Wolde B.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sidama Bunna

Draws

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sidama Bunna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sidama Bunna have won more games recently than Negele Arsi Ketema FC.
Model gives Sidama Bunna a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%

Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sidama Bunna	Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	15	12
Draws	9	11
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League

Sidama Bunna vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 25, 2026 Ethiopia Cup

Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Sidama Bunna

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Jan 27, 2026 Premier League

Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Sidama Bunna

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sidama Bunna Compare

Top Goalscorer Berhane B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidama Bunna 95 / 100

Negele Arsi Ketema FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sidama Bunna Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SID Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidama Bunna scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sidama Bunna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Negele Arsi Ketema FC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sidama Bunna VS Negele Arsi Ketema FC

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35