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Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Ethiopia Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Konkoni H.
90' Event
Beyene B.

AI Match Summary

Welwalo Adigrat in this Ethiopia Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Welwalo Adigrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sidama Bunna
40%
Draws
29%
Welwalo Adigrat
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Welwalo Adigrat haven't matched Sidama Bunna's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidama Bunna Welwalo Adigrat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 14
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 Ethiopia Cup
Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Sidama Bunna
1:4
Feb 28, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:1
Oct 3, 2024 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Sidama Bunna
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sidama Bunna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Welwalo Adigrat Compare

Top Goalscorer Konkoni H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beyene B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidama Bunna 42 / 100
Welwalo Adigrat 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidama Bunna Welwalo Adigrat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidama Bunna found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sidama Bunna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Welwalo Adigrat conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sidama Bunna VS Welwalo Adigrat
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Negele Arsi Ketema FC1
Sidama Bunna2
Bench Maji Bunna FC0
Ethiopian Insurance2
Mechal SC0
Welwalo Adigrat1
Boditi Ketema SC2
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC3
Semi-finals
Sidama Bunna3
Ethiopian Insurance2
Welwalo Adigrat1
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC0
Final
Sidama Bunna0
Welwalo Adigrat2