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Siderurgica vs Araxa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
6' Event
61' Event

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 game between Siderurgica and Araxa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araxa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Siderurgica
15%
Draws
85%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Siderurgica haven't matched Araxa's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Araxa taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Siderurgica Clean Sheet 18%
Araxa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siderurgica Araxa
Matches Played 3 21
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 6
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 3 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Mineiro 3
Siderurgica vs Araxa
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siderurgica 12 / 100
Araxa 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siderurgica Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araxa has conceded goals in 62% of their last 21 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Araxa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Siderurgica found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (3 games).

Scoring Trends

Siderurgica VS Araxa
0 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siderurgica

(Home)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
27 Sept
Siderurgica
0 : 1
Betim FC 2
19 Sept
Paracatu
5 : 0
Siderurgica

Araxa

(Away)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Venda Nova FC 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 3 1 0 2 8:4 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
5 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)