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Sidi Bouzid vs Gafsa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ajmni A.
24'
Azizi H.
90'
Yasser T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sidi Bouzid and Gafsa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gafsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sidi Bouzid
20%
Draws
80%
Gafsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gafsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sidi Bouzid haven't matched Gafsa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gafsa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gafsa have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sidi Bouzid Clean Sheet 14%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidi Bouzid Gafsa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Sidi Bouzid
5:2
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Gafsa
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Gafsa vs Sidi Bouzid
2:1
Jan 26, 2019 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Gafsa
0:3
Oct 6, 2018 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Sidi Bouzid
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sidi Bouzid Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gafsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajmni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidi Bouzid 10 / 100
Gafsa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidi Bouzid Gafsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gafsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Sidi Bouzid scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Gafsa let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Gafsa has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sidi Bouzid VS Gafsa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sidi Bouzid

(Home)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

Gafsa

(Away)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2
Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)