Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siegburger vs FC Hurth

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Adahchur I.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Kuhbier N.
58' Event
Hafthalla A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2024/2025 game between Siegburger and FC Hurth finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siegburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Siegburger
35%
Draws
35%
FC Hurth
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siegburger come out ahead of FC Hurth on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 14%
FC Hurth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegburger FC Hurth
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.36 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs FC Hurth
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Siegburger
1:1
May 12, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Siegburger
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs FC Hurth
1:0
May 14, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Siegburger
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siegburger Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuhbier N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idoguchi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

FC Hurth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegburger 35 / 100
FC Hurth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegburger FC Hurth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Hurth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Siegburger scored in 94% of their last 33 outings.

FC Hurth let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Siegburger remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siegburger VS FC Hurth
2.25 Goals Scored 0.83
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Siegburger

(Home)
27 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 1
Siegburger
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Siegburger
2 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
06 Sept
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 2
Siegburger
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
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FC Hurth

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 2
Chlodwig Zulpich
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonner 30 23 4 3 83:32 73
2 Merten 30 19 3 8 76:44 60
3 Siegburger 30 18 1 11 71:59 55
4 Frechen 30 15 6 9 56:53 51
5 Konigsdorf 30 14 6 10 69:33 48
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 3 12 60:51 48
7 Bergisch Gladbach 30 12 8 10 60:57 44
8 VfL Vichttal 30 13 2 15 64:60 41
9 SpVg Porz 1919 30 11 4 15 53:67 37
10 Hennef 30 10 6 14 40:58 36
11 Teutonia Weiden 30 10 6 14 66:94 36
12 Fortuna Koln II 30 10 5 15 51:50 35
13 Pesch 30 9 8 13 52:52 35
14 FC Hurth 30 7 12 11 41:49 33
15 Bonn-Endenich 08 30 6 5 19 37:77 23
16 Schafhausen 30 5 7 18 30:73 22
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)