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Siello vs AD Torrejon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siello host AD Torrejon in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Siello have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against AD Torrejon's 1.76 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Siello have won 1 to AD Torrejon's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward AD Torrejon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Siello
15%
Draws
57%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Torrejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Torrejon come out ahead of Siello on wins alone.
  • Model gives AD Torrejon a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AD Torrejon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Siello Clean Sheet 15%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siello AD Torrejon
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Siello
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs AD Torrejon
2:3
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Siello
1:2
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs AD Torrejon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siello 11 / 100
AD Torrejon 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siello AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Siello found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

AD Torrejon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: AD Torrejon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siello VS AD Torrejon
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Siello

(Home)
04 Oct
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 0
Siello
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
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AD Torrejon

(Away)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)