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Stadium Background

Siello vs Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cobo M.
42' Event
Barca D.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Smith S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Siello and Mexico finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Siello
20%
Draws
50%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Siello have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Mexico are scoring more at 1.23.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Siello Clean Sheet 15%
Mexico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siello Mexico
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
3:2
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Siello
0:1
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Siello
3:1
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Mexico
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz De La Fuente D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paris B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siello 35 / 100
Mexico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siello Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siello's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mexico let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Siello went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siello VS Mexico
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siello

(Home)
04 Oct
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 0
Siello
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 6

Mexico

(Away)
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)