Sport Picks
Siello vs Pozuelo de Alarcon Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
75'
75'
Pacheco E.
89'
89'
Alvarez R.
89'
89'
Alvarez R.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Siello and Pozuelo de Alarcon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siello.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Siello come out ahead of Pozuelo de Alarcon on wins alone.
- Model gives Pozuelo de Alarcon a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Siello Clean Sheet 15%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siello | Pozuelo de Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Siello
2:1
Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:1
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Siello
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siello Compare
Top Goalscorer Pacheco E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siello 23 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siello Pozuelo de Alarcon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pozuelo de Alarcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Siello scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Pozuelo de Alarcon let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Siello remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Siello VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Siello
(Home) 27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2 Mexico
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2 Mexico
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes B
10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1 San Sebastian Reyes B
12 Apr
Siello
2 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 3
Pozuelo de Alarcon
(Away) 27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1 RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
22 Aug
Real Avila
4 : 0 Pozuelo de Alarcon
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
