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Siena vs Rondinella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siena host Rondinella in the Serie D - Group E. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Siena at 2.03 goals for, 1.06 against; Rondinella at 0.75 for, 1.25 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward Siena. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Siena
20%
Draws
38%
Rondinella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siena lately — more wins on the board than Rondinella.
  • Siena are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Siena Clean Sheet 20%
Rondinella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siena Rondinella
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 19 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 2.03 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siena 40 / 100
Rondinella 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siena Rondinella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siena's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Siena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rondinella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 8 matches.

Difficult form: Rondinella registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siena VS Rondinella
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siena

(Home)
18 Oct
Ternana
2 : 1
Siena
11 Oct
SCD Progresso
0 : 1
Siena
07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3
Siena
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
Page 1 of 7

Rondinella

(Away)
18 Oct
Rondinella
0 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
11 Oct
Montevarchi
0 : 1
Rondinella
04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Rondinella
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0
Lucchese
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)