Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siena vs Scandicci

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Arrighini A.

AI Match Summary

Scandicci in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scandicci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Siena
30%
Draws
37%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scandicci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Siena have won more games recently than Scandicci.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Siena Clean Sheet 68%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siena Scandicci
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 14
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Siena
1:1
Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Siena vs Scandicci
2:0
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Scandicci
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Siena
1:1
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Scandicci
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Scandicci Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrighini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siena 41 / 100
Scandicci 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siena Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siena's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scandicci let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Siena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siena VS Scandicci
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Siena

(Home)
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
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Scandicci

(Away)
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)