Sport Picks
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
21'
21'
Ciofi J.
62'
62'
Lipari M.
64'
64'
AI Match Summary
Siena in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Siena have won more games recently than Seravezza Pozzi.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Siena Clean Sheet 16%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siena | Seravezza Pozzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena
1:4
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Siena
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Seravezza Pozzi
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siena Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciofi J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lipari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Seravezza Pozzi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siena 36 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siena Seravezza Pozzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Siena found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).
Seravezza Pozzi let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Siena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Siena VS Seravezza Pozzi
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Siena
(Home) 07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3 Siena
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Siena
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Montevarchi
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0 Scandicci
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 3
Seravezza Pozzi
(Away) 07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2 Lucchese
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0 Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Follonica Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Tau | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Scandicci | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Seravezza Pozzi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Montevarchi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | SCD Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)
