Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Own Goal
25'
25'
Priore E.
43'
43'
Mastalli A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting Trestina haven't matched Siena's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Siena Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siena | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Sporting Trestina
4:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Siena
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Siena
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Sporting Trestina
1:2
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Siena
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siena Compare
Top Goalscorer Giannetti N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mastalli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Sporting Trestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Priore E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferri Marini D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siena 85 / 100
Sporting Trestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siena Sporting Trestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Trestina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Siena found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Siena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Siena VS Sporting Trestina
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Siena
(Home) 31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0 Scandicci
10 May
Prato
3 : 1 Siena
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
2 : 5 Siena
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0 Scandicci
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
19 Apr
Siena
0 : 0 Montevarchi
02 Apr
Siena
1 : 1 Grosseto
22 Mar
Siena
3 : 2 Foligno
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Trestina
(Away) 29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2 Prato
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
03 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
22 Mar
Poggibonsi
1 : 2 Sporting Trestina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
