Sport Picks
Siena vs Sporting Trestina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Own Goal
25'
25'
Priore E.
43'
43'
Mastalli A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting Trestina haven't matched Siena's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Siena's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Siena Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siena | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.23 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Sporting Trestina
4:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Siena
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Siena
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Siena vs Sporting Trestina
1:2
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Siena
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siena Compare
Top Goalscorer Giannetti N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mastalli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sporting Trestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Priore E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferri Marini D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siena 85 / 100
Sporting Trestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siena Sporting Trestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Siena scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Sporting Trestina conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Siena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Siena VS Sporting Trestina
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Siena
(Home) 07 Oct
Flaminia
0 : 3 Siena
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Montevarchi
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Siena
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Montevarchi
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0 Mezzolara
31 Jul
Siena
2 : 0 Scandicci
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Trestina
(Away) 04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0 Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
