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Sierra Leone U20 vs Egypt U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
Sierra Leone U20 Logo

Sierra Leone U20

4 - 1
FT
Egypt U20 Logo

Egypt U20

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ghandi S.
45' Event
Kabaka
Assist: El Sayed M.
62'
Sub
Khedr O. In: Safaga S.
Out: Khedr O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Sierra Leone U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sierra Leone U20
15%
Draws
54%
Egypt U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egypt U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Egypt U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Egypt U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Egypt U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sierra Leone U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sierra Leone U20 Clean Sheet 26%
Egypt U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone U20 Egypt U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Sierra Leone U20 vs Egypt U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamara M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Egypt U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabaka
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone U20 17 / 100
Egypt U20 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone U20 Egypt U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Egypt U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sierra Leone U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sierra Leone U20 scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Egypt U20
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone U20

(Home)
12 May
Morocco U20
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
06 May
Sierra Leone U20
1 : 4
South Africa U20
03 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
30 Apr
Sierra Leone U20
4 : 1
Egypt U20
27 Apr
Zambia U20
0 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
Page 1 of 6

Egypt U20

(Away)
06 Oct
Algeria U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
30 Sept
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Tunisia U20
24 Sept
Libya U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
31 Jul
Egypt U20
3 : 0
Jordan U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
2 Sierra Leone U20 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Egypt U20 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Zambia U20 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
5 Tanzania U20 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Tunisia U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Kenya U20 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Senegal U20 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 D.R. Congo U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams