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Sierra Leone U20 vs Gambia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017
Sierra Leone U20 Logo

Sierra Leone U20

0 - 2
FT
Gambia U20 Logo

Gambia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
64' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gambia U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sierra Leone U20
20%
Draws
29%
Gambia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sierra Leone U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sierra Leone U20 haven't matched Gambia U20's recent run of results.
  • Sierra Leone U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Gambia U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gambia U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sierra Leone U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone U20 Gambia U20
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
2:0
Apr 2, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Sierra Leone U20 vs Gambia U20
0:2
Aug 6, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Sierra Leone U20 vs Gambia U20
0:0
Jul 24, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone U20 49 / 100
Gambia U20 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone U20 Gambia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sierra Leone U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Sierra Leone U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gambia U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sierra Leone U20's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone U20 VS Gambia U20
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone U20

(Home)
12 May
Morocco U20
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
06 May
Sierra Leone U20
1 : 4
South Africa U20
03 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
30 Apr
Sierra Leone U20
4 : 1
Egypt U20
27 Apr
Zambia U20
0 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
Page 1 of 6

Gambia U20

(Away)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
Niger U20 1
Tunisia U20 4
Ethiopia U20 4
Somalia U20 1
TBD -
Ghana U20 -
Gambia U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Morocco U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 1
Guinea U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Botswana U20 1
Zimbabwe U20 2
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo U20 -
Mauritania U20 3
Algeria U20 2
TBD -
Mali U20 -
Sudan U20 1
Kenya U20 1
TBD -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 -
D.R. Congo U20 -
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Lesotho U20 -
TBD -
Mauritius U20 2
Mozambique U20 2
Namibia U20 4
Eswatini U20 2
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
Uganda U20 3
Rwanda U20 2
Gabon U20 -
TBD -
Chad U20 -
Angola U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 4
Tunisia U20 1
Ethiopia U20 2
Ghana U20 5
Gambia U20 2
Morocco U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Zimbabwe U20 0
Benin U20 -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 3
Congo U20 3
Mauritania U20 1
Mali U20 7
Sudan U20 -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 1
Nigeria U20 3
Lesotho U20 2
Mozambique U20 1
Namibia U20 0
South Africa U20 2
Egypt U20 2
Rwanda U20 1
Gabon U20 1
Angola U20 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Gambia U20 1
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Libya U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 0
Mali U20 2
Sudan U20 5
Nigeria U20 5
Lesotho U20 0
South Africa U20 5
Egypt U20 5
Angola U20 0
TBD -
TBD -