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Sierra Leone U20 vs Guinea U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sierra Leone U20 in this CAF African Championship U20 2015 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sierra Leone U20
20%
Draws
47%
Guinea U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sierra Leone U20 haven't matched Guinea U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Guinea U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sierra Leone U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sierra Leone U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone U20 Guinea U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Guinea U20 vs Sierra Leone U20
0:1
Apr 5, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Sierra Leone U20 vs Guinea U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone U20 35 / 100
Guinea U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone U20 Guinea U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sierra Leone U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sierra Leone U20 scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone U20 VS Guinea U20
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone U20

(Home)
12 May
Morocco U20
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
06 May
Sierra Leone U20
1 : 4
South Africa U20
03 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
30 Apr
Sierra Leone U20
4 : 1
Egypt U20
27 Apr
Zambia U20
0 : 0
Sierra Leone U20
Page 1 of 6

Guinea U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Liberia U20
3 : 4
Guinea U20
03 Sept
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Guinea U20
01 Sept
Guinea U20
4 : 0
Cape Verde U20
28 Aug
Senegal U20
3 : 1
Guinea U20
19 May
Guinea U20
3 : 2
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U20 3
Botswana U20 2
TBD -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Mozambique U20 4
Namibia U20 2
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Nigeria U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 0
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 2
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Djibouti U20 1
Burundi U20 2
Ethiopia U20 5
Seychelles U20 0
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Guinea U20 0
Sierra Leone U20 2
Rwanda U20 -
South Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Congo U20 3
Niger U20 2
TBD -
Benin U20 -
Sudan U20 5
Somalia U20 0
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Libya U20 4
Chad U20 0
Mauritania U20 1
Tunisia U20 6
Liberia U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Guinea-Bissau U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Mali U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Morocco U20 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U20 -
Togo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Malawi U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 1
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 4
Nigeria U20 6
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 1
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 2
Burundi U20 1
Ethiopia U20 0
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Rwanda U20 0
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 4
Benin U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Egypt U20 5
Libya U20 4
Tunisia U20 2
Liberia U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Mali U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Morocco U20 4
Togo U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Malawi U20 1
Zambia U20 3
Nigeria U20 6
Lesotho U20 0
Cameroon U20 2
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 3
Egypt U20 2
Libya U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 4
Mali U20 2
Togo U20 1
TBD -
TBD -