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Sierra Leone U23 vs Zambia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sierra Leone U23
25%
Draws
35%
Zambia U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sierra Leone U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zambia U23 lately — more wins on the board than Sierra Leone U23.
  • Win probability leans Sierra Leone U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Zambia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sierra Leone U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone U23 Zambia U23
Matches Played 2 17
Wins 0 5
Draws 1 5
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 0.5 0.94
Goals Conceded 1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zambia U23 vs Sierra Leone U23
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sierra Leone U23 vs Zambia U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone U23 42 / 100
Zambia U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone U23 Zambia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zambia U23 conceded in 65% of 17 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Sierra Leone U23 scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Solid form: Sierra Leone U23 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone U23 VS Zambia U23
0.17 Goals Scored 1.25
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
17% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone U23

(Home)
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
22 Oct
Sierra Leone U23
1 : 1
Zambia U23

Zambia U23

(Away)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1