Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Sierra Leone

0 - 1

Burkina Faso

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Kargbo A.

39'

Ayinde A.

42'

Zougrana M.

Assist: Traore B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Sierra Leone and Burkina Faso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burkina Faso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Sierra Leone

44%

Draws

20%

Burkina Faso

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Burkina Faso carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 14%

Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sierra Leone	Burkina Faso
Matches Played	29	33
Wins	8	17
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1	2.25
Goals Conceded	1	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 World Championship

Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 4 - 0

0:1

Jun 10, 2024 World Championship

Burkina Faso vs Sierra Leone

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jan 14, 1996 Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Burkina Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Zougrana M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone 35 / 100

Burkina Faso 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sierra Leone Burkina Faso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Burkina Faso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Sierra Leone remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone VS Burkina Faso

1 Goals Scored 2.25

1 Goals Conceded 0.63

57% Over 1.5 63%

43% Over 2.5 63%

14% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1