Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex, Monrovia

Sierra Leone

2 - 0

Ethiopia

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Kamara M.

Assist: Tarawallie S.

46'

Sub

Abera M. In: Waza B.

Out: Abera M.

46'

Sub

Tonjo A. In: Reshid A.

Out: Tonjo A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sierra Leone in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sierra Leone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Sierra Leone

15%

Draws

53%

Ethiopia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Sierra Leone haven't matched Ethiopia's recent run of results.
Model gives Ethiopia a 53% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 19%

Ethiopia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sierra Leone	Ethiopia
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	11
Draws	8	5
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.17	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia

2:0

Nov 15, 2023 World Championship

Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone

0:0

Aug 26, 2021 Friendly International

Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone

0:0

Mar 22, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia

0:0

Sep 9, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations

Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamara M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Koroma A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Ethiopia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone 28 / 100

Ethiopia 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sierra Leone Ethiopia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ethiopia let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Sierra Leone has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone VS Ethiopia

0.88 Goals Scored 1.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone

(Home)

09 Jun

Liberia

3 : 1

Sierra Leone

06 Jun

Sierra Leone

1 : 0

Liberia

30 Mar

Azerbaijan

2 : 1

Sierra Leone

12 Oct

Djibouti

1 : 2

Sierra Leone

08 Oct

Sierra Leone

0 : 1

Burkina Faso

Page 1 of 6

Ethiopia

(Away)

09 Jun

Ethiopia

1 : 1

Malawi

06 Jun

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Malawi

31 Mar

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Sao Tome and Principe

27 Mar

Sao Tome and Principe

0 : 3

Ethiopia

12 Oct

Burkina Faso

3 : 1

Ethiopia

Page 1 of 6