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Sierra Leone W vs Guinea W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2010 National Stadium, Freetown
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sierra Leone W
15%
Draws
20%
Guinea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sierra Leone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Guinea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sierra Leone W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Guinea W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sierra Leone W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 11%
Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone W Guinea W
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.72 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Friendly International Women
Sierra Leone W vs Guinea W
3:1
Mar 20, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Sierra Leone W vs Guinea W
1:1
Mar 7, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea W vs Sierra Leone W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone W 56 / 100
Guinea W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone W Guinea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sierra Leone W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guinea W conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sierra Leone W scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Sierra Leone W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone W VS Guinea W
1.14 Goals Scored 2.13
1.43 Goals Conceded 2.63
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone W

(Home)
31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0
Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1
Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
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Guinea W

(Away)
10 Oct
Cameroon W
:
Guinea W
07 Oct
Guinea W
:
Cameroon W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Senegal W
2 : 1
Guinea W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 3
Angola W 2
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
D.R. Congo W 7
Botswana W 2
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Senegal W 1
Morocco W 0
TBD -
Ghana W -
Ivory Coast W 5
Gabon W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 4
Sierra Leone W 3
TBD -
Mali W -
Tanzania W 4
Ethiopia W 2
TBD -
Eritrea W -
Final
Algeria W 2
Tunisia W 1
Namibia W 1
Equatorial Guinea W 5
D.R. Congo W 0
Cameroon W 5
Senegal W 0
Ghana W 4
Ivory Coast W 2
Nigeria W 5
Guinea W 2
Mali W 3
Tanzania W 11
Eritrea W 4