Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sigma Olomouc vs FK Pardubice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Andruv stadion, Olomouc
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Samuel V.
11'
Drchal V.
17'
Ghali A.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Sigma Olomouc and FK Pardubice finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sigma Olomouc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sigma Olomouc
15%
Draws
53%
FK Pardubice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pardubice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sigma Olomouc come out ahead of FK Pardubice on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sigma Olomouc a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sigma Olomouc Clean Sheet 20%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sigma Olomouc FK Pardubice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.79 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs FK Pardubice
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Sigma Olomouc
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs FK Pardubice
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs FK Pardubice
4:0
Dec 4, 2024 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Sigma Olomouc
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sigma Olomouc Compare

Top Goalscorer Janosek D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barath P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

FK Pardubice Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahuta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sigma Olomouc 76 / 100
FK Pardubice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sigma Olomouc FK Pardubice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sigma Olomouc Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sigma Olomouc found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

FK Pardubice has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Sigma Olomouc remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sigma Olomouc VS FK Pardubice
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sigma Olomouc

(Home)
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Prostejov
3 : 2
Sigma Olomouc
05 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0
Bohemians 1905
29 Aug
Ostrava
1 : 0
Sigma Olomouc
Page 1 of 6

FK Pardubice

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
05 Sept
Slovacko
0 : 0
FK Pardubice
29 Aug
FK Pardubice
1 : 2
Artis Brno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)