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Siheung Citizen vs Busan Kyotong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rabens J.
21' Event
Rabens J.

AI Match Summary

Busan Kyotong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan Kyotong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Siheung Citizen
15%
Draws
18%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siheung Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siheung Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Busan Kyotong.
  • Win probability leans Siheung Citizen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siheung Citizen Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Siheung Citizen
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:3
Apr 19, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Siheung Citizen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siheung Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabens J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siheung Citizen 95 / 100
Busan Kyotong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siheung Citizen Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siheung Citizen scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Siheung Citizen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Busan Kyotong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Siheung Citizen VS Busan Kyotong
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siheung Citizen

(Home)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
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Busan Kyotong

(Away)
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1
Busan Kyotong
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)