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Siheung Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Kim H.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Kim H.
87' Event
Lee S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Siheung Citizen and Yeoju Citizen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siheung Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Siheung Citizen
28%
Draws
50%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Yeoju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siheung Citizen come out ahead of Yeoju Citizen on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Yeoju Citizen taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Siheung Citizen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siheung Citizen Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1
Jul 14, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siheung Citizen 24 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siheung Citizen Yeoju Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Siheung Citizen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Siheung Citizen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siheung Citizen VS Yeoju Citizen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409