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Silifke vs Malatya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Silifke Sehir Stadyumu, Mersin
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ozder U.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
Assist: Eksi U.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Silifke
15%
Draws
67%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malatya lately — more wins on the board than Silifke.
  • Win probability leans Malatya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Malatya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Silifke, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Silifke Clean Sheet 11%
Malatya Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silifke Malatya
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.23 2
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Silifke vs Malatya
1:1
Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Malatya vs Silifke
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Silifke vs Malatya
3:2
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Silifke
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silifke Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutcuoglu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silifke 10 / 100
Malatya 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silifke Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Silifke found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Malatya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Silifke stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Silifke VS Malatya
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Silifke

(Home)
06 Oct
Bitlis 1916
6 : 0
Silifke
03 Oct
Silifke
0 : 3
Nigde
27 Sept
Kirsehir SK
4 : 0
Silifke
20 Sept
Silifke
3 : 0
Karaman FK
13 Sept
Silifke
1 : 1
Agri 1970
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Malatya

(Away)
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor 4
Bursa Yildirimspor 3
Kucukcekmece 2
Etimesgut 1
Erciyes 38 3
Mazidagi 1
Silifke 2
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 7
Fatsa Bld. 2
Karadeniz Eregli 0
Yozgat 4
Eskisehirspor 4
Balikesirspor 2
Karsiyaka 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Semi-finals
Corluspor 4
Kucukcekmece 2
Erciyes 38 3
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 2
Yozgat 1
Eskisehirspor 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Final
Corluspor 1
Malatya 0
52 Orduspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1