Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sillamae Kalev II in this Esiliiga B 2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sillamae Kalev II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sillamae Kalev II
22%
Draws
18%
FC Ararat
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sillamae Kalev II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sillamae Kalev II have won more games recently than FC Ararat.
  • Sillamae Kalev II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sillamae Kalev II Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sillamae Kalev II FC Ararat
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 3 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2015 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat
9:3
Aug 13, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
3:2
May 17, 2015 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
2:1
May 3, 2015 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs FC Ararat
2:2
Sep 17, 2014 Esiliiga B
FC Ararat vs Sillamae Kalev II
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev II 56 / 100
FC Ararat 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sillamae Kalev II FC Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ararat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sillamae Kalev II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sillamae Kalev II found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Sillamae Kalev II VS FC Ararat
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 3.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Sillamae Kalev II

(Home)
05 Nov
Viimsi JK
0 : 0
Sillamae Kalev II
29 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 1
FC Alliance
18 Oct
Raasiku Joker
0 : 4
Sillamae Kalev II
15 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
01 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
3 : 3
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

FC Ararat

(Away)
28 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
10 : 0
FC Ararat
30 Jul
Tallinna Smsraha
1 : 3
FC Ararat
25 Aug
FC Ararat
2 : 3
Vastseliina Tannem
10 Jul
Eston Villa II
:
FC Ararat
10 Jul
EstHam United
0 : 6
FC Ararat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FCI Tallinn II363141124:3497
2Santos Tartu363204161:2796
3Viimsi JK361851371:8159
4Sillamae Kalev II361741574:6455
5Maardu Linnameeskond361621870:8550
6Elva361251945:7941
7FC Alliance361142153:7737
8FC Ararat36952255:8032
9Legion36762353:11127
10Flora U1936832544:11227
Promotion - Esiliiga 2015 (Main)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2014 (Relegation)