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Sillamae Kalev vs Narva

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Savin A.
22' Event
Volkov A.
40'
Aleksejev P.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga 2017 game between Sillamae Kalev and Narva finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sillamae Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sillamae Kalev
20%
Draws
20%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sillamae Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sillamae Kalev come out ahead of Narva on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sillamae Kalev taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 20%
Narva Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sillamae Kalev Narva
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2017 Meistriliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Narva
3:1
Aug 26, 2017 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Sillamae Kalev
1:1
May 5, 2017 Meistriliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Narva
1:1
Apr 29, 2017 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Sillamae Kalev
3:1
Sep 17, 2016 Meistriliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Narva
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sillamae Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Savin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Volkov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Poliakov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev 36 / 100
Narva 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sillamae Kalev Narva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Narva let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Sillamae Kalev's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Narva's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Narva
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sillamae Kalev

(Home)
21 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 0
Sillamae Kalev
17 Jul
Sillamae Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
04 Nov
Sillamae Kalev
0 : 1
Tulevik
28 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 0
FCI Tallinn
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Narva

(Away)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
30 Aug
Narva
0 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora 36 28 6 2 100:28 90
2 Levadia 36 25 9 2 106:20 84
3 Kalju 36 24 6 6 101:32 78
4 FCI Tallinn 36 20 5 11 103:47 65
5 Narva 36 13 6 17 46:63 45
6 Paide Linnameeskond 36 10 8 18 47:88 38
7 Tammeka Tartu 36 9 10 17 40:63 37
8 Tulevik 36 8 4 24 34:95 28
9 Parnu JK Vaprus 36 2 2 32 29:146 8
10 Sillamae Kalev 36 10 6 20 52:76 36
11 Parnu Linnameeskond 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Esiliiga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Champions League 2018/2019 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2018/2019 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2018/2019 (Qualification)