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Sillamae Kalev vs Parnu Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2017
Fri, Jun 2, 2017
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sillamae Kalev play Parnu Linnameeskond in the Meistriliiga 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sillamae Kalev averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.26 conceded. Parnu Linnameeskond averaged 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Sillamae Kalev won 1, Parnu Linnameeskond won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Sep 30, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Sillamae Kalev and 1.25 for Parnu Linnameeskond. This points to a Parnu Linnameeskond double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sillamae Kalev
40%
Draws
30%
Parnu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Parnu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Sillamae Kalev picked up more points recently compared to Parnu Linnameeskond.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 19%
Parnu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sillamae Kalev Parnu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 27 1
Wins 9 0
Draws 3 0
Losses 15 1
Goals Scored 1.67 0
Goals Conceded 2.26 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Meistriliiga
Parnu Linnameeskond vs Sillamae Kalev
0:0
Aug 12, 2017 Meistriliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Parnu Linnameeskond
0:0
Jun 2, 2017 Meistriliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Parnu Linnameeskond
0:0
Apr 1, 2017 Meistriliiga
Parnu Linnameeskond vs Sillamae Kalev
0:0
Sep 13, 2016 Meistriliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Parnu Linnameeskond
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev 31 / 100
Parnu Linnameeskond 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sillamae Kalev Parnu Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Parnu Linnameeskond or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sillamae Kalev attacking → ← attacking Parnu Linnameeskond

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sillamae Kalev scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Parnu Linnameeskond let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Sillamae Kalev went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Parnu Linnameeskond lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 0
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flora362862100:2890
2Levadia362592106:2084
3Kalju362466101:3278
4FCI Tallinn3620511103:4765
5Narva361361746:6345
6Paide Linnameeskond361081847:8838
7Tammeka Tartu369101740:6337
8Tulevik36842434:9528
9Parnu JK Vaprus36223229:1468
10Sillamae Kalev361062052:7636
11Parnu Linnameeskond00000:00