Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Anohhin E.
17' Event
Lukas J.
Own Goal
22'
Panov A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Sillamae Kalev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sillamae Kalev
15%
Draws
34%
Tulevik Viljandi II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sillamae Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sillamae Kalev come out ahead of Tulevik Viljandi II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sillamae Kalev's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sillamae Kalev have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sillamae Kalev, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sillamae Kalev have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Tulevik Viljandi II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sillamae Kalev Tulevik Viljandi II
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 27
Goals Scored 1.67 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.26 4.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2018 Estonian Cup
Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II
4:2
Nov 4, 2007 Esiliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II
5:0
Jul 22, 2007 Esiliiga
Tulevik Viljandi II vs Sillamae Kalev
0:2
May 13, 2007 Esiliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II
1:0
Apr 25, 2007 Esiliiga
Tulevik Viljandi II vs Sillamae Kalev
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sillamae Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Novikov K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Anohhin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Tulevik Viljandi II Compare

Top Goalscorer Roman R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elur L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev 83 / 100
Tulevik Viljandi II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sillamae Kalev Tulevik Viljandi II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sillamae Kalev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tulevik Viljandi II conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sillamae Kalev scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Tulevik Viljandi II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sillamae Kalev VS Tulevik Viljandi II
1.88 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sillamae Kalev

(Home)
21 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 0
Sillamae Kalev
17 Jul
Sillamae Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
04 Nov
Sillamae Kalev
0 : 1
Tulevik
28 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 0
FCI Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

Tulevik Viljandi II

(Away)
17 Jul
Sillamae Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
17 Jun
Tulevik Viljandi II
4 : 3
Jogeva Wolves
06 Nov
Tulevik Viljandi II
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
29 Oct
Tulevik Viljandi II
2 : 7
Tammeka Tartu II
22 Oct
Flora U19
0 : 0
Tulevik Viljandi II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva -
TBD -
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Imavere Forss 4
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Kadrina SK Moe 3
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Helios II -
Otepaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Tallinna Kalev III 3
TBD -
Kalju III -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
TransferWise 2
TBD -
Teleios -
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves 3
Tulevik Viljandi II 4
Pohja-Tallinna 2 9
Puhkus Mehhikos 2
Tulevik 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Tabasalu 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
TBD -
Lelle -
Raasiku Joker -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Kose -
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid 2
Koeru 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 10
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn -
Viimsi JK 2 3
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Igiliikur 5
FC Ararat 4
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
Mulgi 1
Ambla 2
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju -
TBD -
Anija 1
Sillamae 2
Vaimastvere SK Illi 8
Raudteetoolised 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Kuressaare 22
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Rumori Calcio 3
Raplamaa 0
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Mauruse Saurused 2
Maardu United II 21
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Torva JK 1
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna JK Augur -
Kadakas -
TBD -
Kohila 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 6
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Loo JK 1
FC Tallinn -
Molycorp Silmet -
Rakvere -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 1
Legion 3
Flora 16
Olympic Tallinn 0
TBD -
Helios -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Viking 1
Valga Warrior 5
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Soccernet 0
Levadia 12
1/32-finals
Narva 10
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Depoo 0
Kadrina SK Moe 2
Tallinn Piraaja 7
Helios II 0
Otepaa 3
Jogeva 7
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
Kalju III 0
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Teleios 4
Sillamae Kalev 4
Tulevik Viljandi II 2
Pohja-Tallinna 2 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Tabasalu 6
Lelle 0
Raasiku Joker 4
JK Poseidon 5
Kose -
Koeru -
Marjamaa Kompanii 3
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Maksatransport 2
Igiliikur 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 6
Ambla 1
Eston Villa 0
Elva 4
Kalju 16
Sillamae 0
Vaimastvere SK Illi 0
Kuressaare 15
Santos Tartu 5
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Rumori Calcio 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Jarva-Jaani 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Maardu United -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Maardu United II 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Paide Linnameeskond 15
Tallinna JK Augur 1
Kadakas 4
Paide Linnameeskond II 10
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Molycorp Silmet 1
Rakvere 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Helios 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Valga Warrior 7
Tartu JK Welco 1
Flora U19 0
Nomme Utd 1
Levadia 4
1/16-finals
Narva 7
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Jogeva 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 14
Teleios 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 2
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 2
Santos Tartu 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Jarva-Jaani 5
Aksi Wolves 0
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Levadia 5
1/8-finals
Narva 8
Jogeva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 6
Zenit Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2 0
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Jarva-Jaani 0
Tammeka Tartu 6
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Legion 1
Flora 1
Levadia 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Tabasalu 1
Elva 5
Kalju 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 4
Semi-finals
Narva 5
Elva 0
Kalju 3
Levadia 2
Final
Narva 2
Kalju 1