Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Anohhin E.
17' Event
Lukas J.
Own Goal
22'
Panov A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Sillamae Kalev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sillamae Kalev
6%
Draws
4%
Tulevik Viljandi II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sillamae Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sillamae Kalev come out ahead of Tulevik Viljandi II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sillamae Kalev's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sillamae Kalev have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sillamae Kalev, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sillamae Kalev have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Tulevik Viljandi II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sillamae Kalev Tulevik Viljandi II
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 27
Goals Scored 1.88 3
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2018 Estonian Cup
Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II
4:2
Nov 4, 2007 Esiliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II
5:0
Jul 22, 2007 Esiliiga
Tulevik Viljandi II vs Sillamae Kalev
0:2
May 13, 2007 Esiliiga
Sillamae Kalev vs Tulevik Viljandi II
1:0
Apr 25, 2007 Esiliiga
Tulevik Viljandi II vs Sillamae Kalev
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sillamae Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Novikov K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Anohhin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tulevik Viljandi II Compare

Top Goalscorer Roman R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elur L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev 83 / 100
Tulevik Viljandi II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sillamae Kalev Tulevik Viljandi II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tulevik Viljandi II conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sillamae Kalev scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Tulevik Viljandi II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sillamae Kalev VS Tulevik Viljandi II
1.88 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sillamae Kalev

(Home)
21 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 0
Sillamae Kalev
17 Jul
Sillamae Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
04 Nov
Sillamae Kalev
0 : 1
Tulevik
28 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 0
FCI Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

Tulevik Viljandi II

(Away)
17 Jul
Sillamae Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
17 Jun
Tulevik Viljandi II
4 : 3
Jogeva Wolves
06 Nov
Tulevik Viljandi II
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
29 Oct
Tulevik Viljandi II
2 : 7
Tammeka Tartu II
22 Oct
Flora U19
0 : 0
Tulevik Viljandi II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva-
TBD-
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool3
Imavere Forss4
Tallinna Depoo-
TBD-
FCP Parnu0
Kadrina SK Moe3
Tallinn Piraaja-
TBD-
TBD-
Helios II-
Otepaa-
TBD-
TBD-
Jogeva-
Laanemaa Haapsalu4
Tallinna Kalev III3
TBD-
Kalju III-
Kohtla-Nomme3
TransferWise2
TBD-
Teleios-
Sillamae Kalev-
TBD-
Jogeva Wolves3
Tulevik Viljandi II4
Pohja-Tallinna 29
Puhkus Mehhikos2
Tulevik0
Maardu Linnameeskond3
Tabasalu3
Paide Linnameeskond U210
TBD-
Lelle-
Raasiku Joker-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Kose-
TBD-
Viimsi Lovid2
Koeru3
Marjamaa Kompanii10
Tallinna Wolves0
TBD-
Zenit Tallinn-
Viimsi JK 23
JK Poseidon II0
TBD-
Maksatransport-
Igiliikur5
FC Ararat4
TBD-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II-
Viimsi JK-
TBD-
Mulgi1
Ambla2
Eston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
Elva-
Kalju-
TBD-
Anija1
Sillamae2
Vaimastvere SK Illi8
Raudteetoolised0
FC Lootos Polva0
Kuressaare22
Santos Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Vastseliina Tannem-
Rumori Calcio3
Raplamaa0
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev-
Jarva-Jaani-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
Maardu United-
TBD-
TBD-
Aksi Wolves-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
Mauruse Saurused2
Maardu United II21
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve3
Torva JK1
Pohja-Tallinna0
Tammeka Tartu3
Paide Linnameeskond-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna JK Augur-
Kadakas-
TBD-
Kohila1
Paide Linnameeskond II6
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Loo JK1
FC Tallinn-
Molycorp Silmet-
Rakvere-
TBD-
Pohja-Sakala1
Legion3
Flora16
Olympic Tallinn0
TBD-
Helios-
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
TBD-
Viking1
Valga Warrior5
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora U19-
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
Soccernet0
Levadia12
1/32-finals
Narva10
Imavere Forss0
Tallinna Depoo0
Kadrina SK Moe2
Tallinn Piraaja7
Helios II0
Otepaa3
Jogeva7
Laanemaa Haapsalu6
Kalju III0
Kohtla-Nomme1
Teleios4
Sillamae Kalev4
Tulevik Viljandi II2
Pohja-Tallinna 21
Maardu Linnameeskond5
Tabasalu6
Lelle0
Raasiku Joker4
JK Poseidon5
Kose-
Koeru-
Marjamaa Kompanii3
Zenit Tallinn4
Viimsi JK 23
Maksatransport2
Igiliikur1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II2
Viimsi JK6
Ambla1
Eston Villa0
Elva4
Kalju16
Sillamae0
Vaimastvere SK Illi0
Kuressaare15
Santos Tartu5
Vastseliina Tannem2
Rumori Calcio1
Tallinna Kalev8
Jarva-Jaani3
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Maardu United-
Aksi Wolves-
Flora Tallinn U2110
Maardu United II0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Tammeka Tartu2
Paide Linnameeskond15
Tallinna JK Augur1
Kadakas4
Paide Linnameeskond II10
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Molycorp Silmet1
Rakvere0
Legion3
Flora13
Helios0
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Valga Warrior7
Tartu JK Welco1
Flora U190
Nomme Utd1
Levadia4
1/16-finals
Narva7
Kadrina SK Moe0
Tallinn Piraaja3
Jogeva4
Laanemaa Haapsalu14
Teleios1
Sillamae Kalev0
Maardu Linnameeskond4
Tabasalu3
JK Poseidon0
Kose2
Zenit Tallinn4
Viimsi JK 23
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II2
Viimsi JK2
Elva3
Kalju3
Kuressaare2
Santos Tartu0
Tallinna Kalev3
Jarva-Jaani5
Aksi Wolves0
Flora Tallinn U210
Tammeka Tartu1
Paide Linnameeskond2
Paide Linnameeskond II1
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Legion3
Flora13
Valga Warrior0
Tartu JK Welco0
Levadia5
1/8-finals
Narva8
Jogeva0
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Maardu Linnameeskond4
Tabasalu6
Zenit Tallinn1
Viimsi JK 20
Elva3
Kalju3
Tallinna Kalev0
Jarva-Jaani0
Tammeka Tartu6
Paide Linnameeskond2
Legion1
Flora1
Levadia2
Quarter-finals
Narva2
Maardu Linnameeskond0
Tabasalu1
Elva5
Kalju2
Tammeka Tartu1
Paide Linnameeskond1
Levadia4
Semi-finals
Narva5
Elva0
Kalju3
Levadia2
Final
Narva2
Kalju1