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Sillamae Kalev vs Viimsi MRJK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2014/2015
Sat, Jun 28, 2014
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2014/2015. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Viimsi MRJK have shipped 3.22 goals a game lately, while Sillamae Kalev have conceded 2.1 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Sillamae Kalev slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2016, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.88) point toward Viimsi MRJK. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sillamae Kalev
15%
Draws
57%
Viimsi MRJK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Viimsi MRJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sillamae Kalev come out ahead of Viimsi MRJK on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Sillamae Kalev have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sillamae Kalev, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sillamae Kalev have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sillamae Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Viimsi MRJK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sillamae Kalev Viimsi MRJK
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 2 2.44
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2016 Estonian Cup
Sillamae Kalev vs Viimsi MRJK
2:0
Aug 5, 2014 Estonian Cup
Sillamae Kalev vs Viimsi MRJK
11:0
Jun 28, 2014 Estonian Cup
Sillamae Kalev vs Viimsi MRJK
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sillamae Kalev 30 / 100
Viimsi MRJK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sillamae Kalev Viimsi MRJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viimsi MRJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viimsi MRJK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sillamae Kalev scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Sillamae Kalev went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sillamae Kalev VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sillamae Kalev

(Home)
21 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 0
Sillamae Kalev
17 Jul
Sillamae Kalev
4 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
04 Nov
Sillamae Kalev
0 : 1
Tulevik
28 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Oct
Sillamae Kalev
1 : 0
FCI Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

Viimsi MRJK

(Away)
04 May
Sillamae Kalev
2 : 0
Viimsi MRJK
13 Apr
Viimsi MRJK
6 : 1
Tallinn Forza
08 Nov
Viimsi MRJK
4 : 0
Vastseliina Tannem
03 Sept
Eston Villa
2 : 3
Viimsi MRJK
26 Jul
Bronx Wood
1 : 3
Viimsi MRJK
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Santos Tartu 4
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
Narva United 2
Rada Kuusalu 9
Tartu Ulikool 0
SK EPMU Tartu 2
Tammeka Tartu 5
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tapa -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 5
Lootos FCR 2
Virtsu 1
Igiliikur 5
Retro 5
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Rapla -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
FC Tartu 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Kadakas 0
Kaitseliit 2
Nomme Utd 10
Anija 0
Lelle 1
Ulikool Tallinn 5
FCI Tallinn II 7
Paidelona 0
TBD -
Elva -
Otepaa -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Metropool Parnu 9
Haiba 0
Fellin 1
Raasiku Valla 2
Ulikool Tallinn II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Kivioli Irbis -
TBD -
Loo JK 1
Saku Sporting 3
Reaal -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
SK Taaksi 2
Keila JK 12
Somnium 1
TBD -
Puuma -
Tartu Tehased 4
Twister Tallinn 1
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 7
Tulevik 0
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Levadia -
TBD -
Aseri Askele 1
Tallinna Kalev II 6
Imavere Forss 6
Helios 1
Eston Villa 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
FCI Tallinn 16
JK Poseidon 0
Viimsi Ehitus 2
Raasiku Joker 8
Soccernet -
TBD -
Pirita 0
Voru 1
Tallinna Dnipro -
Vutihoolikud -
Shnelli 0
Maardu United 8
Viimsi MRJK 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Narva 1
Sillamae Kalev 3
Johvi Phoenix -
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
Tartu Taara 0
Vandra Vaprus 8
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Raudne Rusikas 2
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Tallinna Kalev 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 8
Tallinna Depoo 3
Olympic Tallinn 0
Viimsi JK 5
Torva JK 6
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Ganvix Turi 11
Kuressaare 7
Vaatsa Vald 0
Oismae Torm 1
Merkuur Tartu 10
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva United 1
Rada Kuusalu 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Flora U19 4
Tapa 0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Igiliikur 2
Retro 9
Valga Warrior 2
Rapla 1
FC Tartu 8
Tabasalu 3
Kaitseliit 0
Nomme Utd 2
Ulikool Tallinn 9
FCI Tallinn II 3
Elva 2
Otepaa 0
Rakvere 2
Metropool Parnu 3
Raasiku Valla 1
Ulikool Tallinn II 0
FC Ararat 5
Kivioli Irbis 15
Saku Sporting 0
Reaal 2
SK Taaksi 4
Keila JK 2
Puuma 1
Tartu Tehased 0
Paide Linnameeskond 17
Flora 5
JK Visadus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kose 1
Levadia 19
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Imavere Forss 1
Saue JK Laagri 3
FCI Tallinn 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Soccernet 2
Voru 5
Tallinna Dnipro 2
Maardu United 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Johvi Phoenix 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
IAFA Estonia -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Jogeva -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Viimsi JK 1
Torva JK 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Kuressaare 4
Merkuur Tartu 0
Ambla 0
Kalju 18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Flora U19 2
Igiliikur 3
Retro 5
FC Tartu 2
Tabasalu 2
Ulikool Tallinn 11
FCI Tallinn II 2
Rakvere 1
Metropool Parnu 3
FC Ararat 4
Kivioli Irbis 7
SK Taaksi 3
Keila JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Flora 13
Kose 0
Levadia -
Saue JK Laagri -
FCI Tallinn 11
Voru 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 13
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Jogeva 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Ganvix Turi 1
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 9
Igiliikur 0
Retro 3
Ulikool Tallinn 4
FCI Tallinn II 3
FC Ararat 0
Kivioli Irbis -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 11
Saue JK Laagri 0
FCI Tallinn 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Ulikool Tallinn 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kalju 5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 1
Kalju 2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 2