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Silva SD vs Arosa SC

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Crespo Y.
63' Event
Ferreiro I.
90' Event
Seijo A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Silva SD and Arosa SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Silva SD
30%
Draws
33%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Silva SD haven't matched Arosa SC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Silva SD's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 68%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silva SD Arosa SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Arosa SC
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Silva SD
2:1
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Arosa SC
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Silva SD
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Silva SD
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreiro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Arosa SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seijo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silva SD 86 / 100
Arosa SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silva SD Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Silva SD remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Silva SD scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Arosa SC conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Silva SD VS Arosa SC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Silva SD

(Home)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

Arosa SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)