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Silva SD vs Somozas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Ferreiro I.
82'
Rosas N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Silva SD and Somozas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Silva SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Silva SD
35%
Draws
23%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Somozas have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Silva SD are scoring more at 1.24.
  • Model gives Silva SD a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 68%
Somozas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silva SD Somozas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Somozas
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Silva SD
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Somozas
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Silva SD
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Somozas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreiro I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Somozas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silva SD 95 / 100
Somozas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silva SD Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Silva SD went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Silva SD found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Somozas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Silva SD VS Somozas
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Silva SD

(Home)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)