Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sima Aguilas vs Jacksonville Armada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

US Open Cup 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Castellanos J.
77' Event
Doyle C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Jacksonville Armada advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sima Aguilas
15%
Draws
36%
Jacksonville Armada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sima Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sima Aguilas come out ahead of Jacksonville Armada on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sima Aguilas a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Sima Aguilas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jacksonville Armada, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sima Aguilas Clean Sheet 20%
Jacksonville Armada Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sima Aguilas Jacksonville Armada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2018 US Open Cup
Sima Aguilas vs Jacksonville Armada
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sima Aguilas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jacksonville Armada Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sima Aguilas 58 / 100
Jacksonville Armada 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sima Aguilas Jacksonville Armada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sima Aguilas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sima Aguilas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jacksonville Armada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sima Aguilas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sima Aguilas VS Jacksonville Armada
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sima Aguilas

(Home)
22 Jul
Sima Aguilas
1 : 2
Brave SC
20 Jul
Sima Aguilas
2 : 1
Twin City Toucans
15 Jul
Sima Aguilas
5 : 0
Miami City
11 Jul
Sima Aguilas
1 : 0
Next Academy
08 Jul
FC Florida U23
1 : 2
Sima Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

Jacksonville Armada

(Away)
23 May
Jacksonville Armada
0 : 2
Miami United
17 May
Jacksonville Armada
1 : 0
Tampa Bay
09 May
Sima Aguilas
0 : 2
Jacksonville Armada
21 Feb
DC United
2 : 1
Jacksonville Armada
29 Oct
San Francisco Deltas
0 : 2
Jacksonville Armada
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
Charleston -
TBD -
Myrtle Beach 1
South Georgia Tormenta 2
Seacoast United Phantoms 3
Kendall Wanderers 2
Western Pioneers 1
Elm Express City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Nashville SC -
TBD -
Charlotte Eagles 1
Inter Nashville 6
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
New Orleans Jesters 1
Mississippi Brilla 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Louis FC -
TBD -
Dakota Fusion 4
Duluth FC 5
Long Island 6
Kingston Stockade 3
TBD -
Louisville City -
Orlando City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksonville Armada 2
Sima Aguilas 0
TBD -
Tampa Bay -
Miami FC 2 4
Red Force 0
Kendall 2
Miami United 5
North Carolina FC -
TBD -
Brooklyn Italians 0
Lansdowne Yonkers 2
Charlotte Independence -
TBD -
Ann Arbor 0
Ocean City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
Richmond Kickers -
TBD -
Christos 1
Reading 2
Motown 2
New York Red Bulls U23 1
TBD -
Penn Football Club -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Los Angeles FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Arizona 1
Arizona FC 0
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Orange County FC 3
Santa Ana Winds 0
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reno 1868 -
TBD -
Kitsap Pumas 0
Portland (Capital) U23 5
San Francisco City 4
Aguiluchos 0
TBD -
Sacramento Republic -
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
La Maquina 1
Tucson 2
Orange County SC -
TBD -
L.A. Wolves 1
Golden State Force 3
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
San Antonio FC -
TBD -
Lakeland Tropics 0
Midland Sockers 3
FC Denver 4
Azteca 2
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
Rochester River Dogz 1
Erie Commodores 2
Detroit City 2
Michigan Bucks 1
TBD -
FC Cincinnati -
NTX Rayados 2
Fort Worth Vaqueros 1
TBD -
Oklahoma City Energy FC -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
Oklahoma City Energy FC U23 1
FC Wichita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
1/64-finals
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
Charleston 1
South Georgia Tormenta 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 0
Elm Express City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Nashville SC 2
Inter Nashville 0
Indy Eleven 0
Mississippi Brilla 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Louis FC 2
Duluth FC 0
Long Island 0
Louisville City 5
Orlando City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksonville Armada 1
Tampa Bay 0
Miami FC 2 1
Miami United 3
North Carolina FC 3
Lansdowne Yonkers 0
Charlotte Independence 1
Ocean City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DC United -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
Richmond Kickers 2
Reading 1
Motown 1
Penn Football Club 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Los Angeles FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Arizona 2
Phoenix Rising 1
Orange County FC 0
Monterey Bay 2
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reno 1868 7
Portland (Capital) U23 3
San Francisco City 1
Sacramento Republic 3
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Vegas Lights 4
Tucson 2
Orange County SC 2
Golden State Force 4
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
San Antonio FC 4
Midland Sockers 0
FC Denver 2
Colorado Springs 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Dallas -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
Erie Commodores 1
Detroit City 1
FC Cincinnati 4
NTX Rayados 5
Oklahoma City Energy FC 2
FC Tulsa 3
FC Wichita 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
1/32-finals
Chicago Fire -
TBD -
TBD -
Columbus Crew -
Charleston 1
Elm Express City 0
TBD -
Atlanta United -
Nashville SC 3
Mississippi Brilla 1
TBD -
Colorado Rapids -
New England Revolution -
TBD -
St. Louis FC 0
Louisville City 1
Orlando City -
TBD -
Jacksonville Armada 0
Miami United 2
North Carolina FC 4
Ocean City 1
TBD -
DC United -
New York Red Bulls -
TBD -
TBD -
New York City -
Richmond Kickers 3
Penn Football Club 2
TBD -
Philadelphia Union -
Los Angeles FC -
TBD -
Sporting Arizona 1
Monterey Bay 2
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Reno 1868 0
Sacramento Republic 1
Los Angeles Galaxy -
TBD -
Las Vegas Lights 1
Golden State Force 2
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers -
Sporting Kansas City -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
San Antonio FC 2
Colorado Springs 1
TBD -
FC Dallas -
Minnesota United -
TBD -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1
FC Cincinnati 3
NTX Rayados 3
FC Wichita 2
TBD -
Houston Dynamo -
1/16-finals
Chicago Fire 3
Columbus Crew 2
Charleston 0
Atlanta United 3
Nashville SC 2
Colorado Rapids 0
New England Revolution 2
Louisville City 3
Orlando City 3
Miami United 0
North Carolina FC 1
DC United 2
New York Red Bulls 4
New York City 0
Richmond Kickers 0
Philadelphia Union 5
Los Angeles FC 2
Monterey Bay 0
Seattle Sounders 1
Sacramento Republic 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 3
Golden State Force 1
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Portland Timbers 2
Sporting Kansas City 2
Real Salt Lake 0
San Antonio FC 0
FC Dallas 1
Minnesota United 1
FC Cincinnati 0
NTX Rayados 0
Houston Dynamo 5
1/8-finals
Chicago Fire 1
Atlanta United 0
Nashville SC 1
Louisville City 2
Orlando City 2
DC United 1
New York Red Bulls 1
Philadelphia Union 2
Los Angeles FC 3
Sacramento Republic 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 0
Portland Timbers 1
Sporting Kansas City 3
FC Dallas 2
Minnesota United 0
Houston Dynamo 1
Quarter-finals
Chicago Fire 4
Louisville City 0
Orlando City 0
Philadelphia Union 1
Los Angeles FC 3
Portland Timbers 2
Sporting Kansas City 2
Houston Dynamo 4
Semi-finals
Chicago Fire 0
Philadelphia Union 3
Los Angeles FC 3
Houston Dynamo 4
Final
Philadelphia Union 0
Houston Dynamo 3