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Simba vs Celeste

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Simba and Celeste finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Simba
35%
Draws
24%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Celeste's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Simba a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Celeste
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.68 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Simba
1:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Celeste
1:1
Jun 28, 2023 Ligue 1
Simba vs Celeste
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 58 / 100
Celeste 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Celeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Simba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Simba scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Celeste
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
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Celeste

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)