Sport Picks
Simba vs Coastal Union
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
AI Match Summary
Simba host Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Simba have averaged 2.06 scored and 0.39 conceded recently, against Coastal Union's 1.13 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Simba slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.93) back Simba to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Simba have won more games recently than Coastal Union.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Simba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 24 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.39 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Simba scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Coastal Union has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Simba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home)Coastal Union
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singida Black Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Simba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Mashujaa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 7 | Fountain Gate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Azam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Polisi Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | JKT Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Pamba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Dodoma Jiji | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | TRA United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Coastal Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
