Sport Picks
Simba vs Coastal Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
75'
75'
AI Match Summary
Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Simba have won more games recently than Coastal Union.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Simba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Simba here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 28 |
| Wins | 28 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.31 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Coastal Union
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 Federation Cup
Simba vs Coastal Union
4:0
May 21, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Simba
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Coastal Union
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Simba
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 85 / 100
Coastal Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Coastal Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Simba scored in 83% of their last 35 games.
Coastal Union has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS Coastal Union
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2 Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
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Coastal Union
(Away) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 11 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
