Sport Picks
Simba vs JKT Tanzania
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
28'
28'
Makame L.
45'
45'
Sub
Makame L. In: Katanga E.
Out: Makame L.
52'
52'
Chama C.
Assist: Mpanzu E.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Simba and JKT Tanzania finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- JKT Tanzania haven't matched Simba's recent run of results.
- Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Simba have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
JKT Tanzania Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | JKT Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 25 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 1 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.37 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs JKT Tanzania
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Simba
1:2
May 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
JKT Tanzania vs Simba
0:1
Dec 24, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs JKT Tanzania
1:0
May 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs JKT Tanzania
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67
JKT Tanzania Compare
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 95 / 100
JKT Tanzania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba JKT Tanzania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: JKT Tanzania conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS JKT Tanzania
1 Goals Scored 1.17
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2 Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 4
JKT Tanzania
(Away) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1 Namungo
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0 JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0 JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
27 Jun
Pamba
1 : 2 JKT Tanzania
24 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
