Sport Picks
Simba vs Kinondoni MC
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
35'
35'
46'
46'
Sub
Mwangosi B. In: Mligo A.
Out: Mwangosi B.
48'
48'
Loemba I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Simba and Kinondoni MC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Kinondoni MC on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Simba have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Kinondoni MC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 31 |
| Wins | 28 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.31 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Kinondoni MC
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Simba
0:2
May 11, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Simba
1:2
Nov 6, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Kinondoni MC
4:0
May 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Kinondoni MC
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 95 / 100
Kinondoni MC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Kinondoni MC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.
Kinondoni MC let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.
Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Kinondoni MC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS Kinondoni MC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
0 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2 Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 4
Kinondoni MC
(Away) 30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 TRA United
Page 1 of 7
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
25 May
Azam
3 : 0 Kinondoni MC
14 May
Mtibwa Sugar
4 : 3 Kinondoni MC
30 Apr
JKT Tanzania
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
