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Simba vs Manika

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Simba and Manika finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Simba
30%
Draws
47%
Manika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manika come out ahead of Simba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Manika a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Simba Clean Sheet 12%
Manika Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Manika
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.74 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Manika
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Manika vs Simba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 10 / 100
Manika 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Manika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manika Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Simba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Simba found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (35 games).

Manika let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Manika
0.88 Goals Scored 2.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
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Manika

(Away)
16 Apr
US Panda
2 : 3
Manika
05 Apr
Manika
2 : 1
Blessing
27 Mar
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 2
Manika
23 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 0
Manika
19 Mar
Tshikas
1 : 1
Manika
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)