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Simba vs Mashujaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Simba host Mashujaa in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Simba have averaged 2.1 scored and 0.4 conceded recently, against Mashujaa's 0.75 scored and 0.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Simba slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.63) point toward Simba. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Simba
15%
Draws
32%
Mashujaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mashujaa haven't matched Simba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Simba a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Simba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Mashujaa
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 34 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 2.1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.4 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Simba
0:3
Jan 29, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mashujaa
2:0
May 2, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mashujaa
2:1
Nov 1, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Simba
0:1
Apr 9, 2024 Federation Cup
Mashujaa vs Simba
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 85 / 100
Mashujaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Mashujaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 86% of their last 42 outings.

Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mashujaa has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Mashujaa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
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Mashujaa

(Away)
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)