Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Mighty Wanderers FC

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Chama C.
27' Event
Gueye L.
34' Event
Chama C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-1. The second leg ended 6-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Simba
15%
Draws
24%
Mighty Wanderers FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Simba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Simba taking it.
  • Simba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Simba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Mighty Wanderers FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 2 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.37 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Champions League
Simba vs Mighty Wanderers FC
6:1
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Simba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyondo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 95 / 100
Mighty Wanderers FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Mighty Wanderers FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Simba remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mighty Wanderers FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Mighty Wanderers FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

Mighty Wanderers FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
22 Aug
Mighty Wanderers FC
2 : 1
Red Lions
16 Aug
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 2
Mighty Wanderers FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 4
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al-Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
TBD -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al-Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -