Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Simba and New Soger finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Simba haven't matched New Soger's recent run of results.
- Model gives Simba a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Simba have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
New Soger Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | New Soger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs New Soger
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Simba
0:1
Feb 26, 2017 Ligue 1
Simba vs New Soger
2:0
Sep 28, 2016 Ligue 1
New Soger vs Simba
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 67 / 100
New Soger 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba New Soger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New Soger has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Simba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
New Soger's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS New Soger
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0 Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0 AS Vita Club
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22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0 Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0 AS Vita Club
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New Soger
(Away) 15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3 Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1 New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1 New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1 Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2 Lubumbashi Sport
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10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1 New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1 New Soger
10 Mar
Manika
2 : 0 New Soger
01 Mar
Saint-Luc
0 : 3 New Soger
26 Feb
Tshinkunku
1 : 1 New Soger
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
