Sport Picks
Simba vs Polisi Tanzania
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
15'
15'
Ntibazonkiza S.
20'
20'
Ntibazonkiza S.
27'
27'
Ntibazonkiza S.
Assist: Banda P.
AI Match Summary
Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Simba lately — more wins on the board than Polisi Tanzania.
- Model gives Simba a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 27 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.16 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.41 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Polisi Tanzania
6:1
Nov 27, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Simba
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Simba
0:0
Oct 27, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Polisi Tanzania
1:0
Jun 19, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Simba
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Ntibazonkiza S.
5 Goals Assists Leader Mwenda I. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Polisi Tanzania Compare
Top Goalscorer Mayala S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 95 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Polisi Tanzania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Solid form: Simba remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Polisi Tanzania let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS Polisi Tanzania
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2 Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
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13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
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Polisi Tanzania
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
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29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4 Polisi Tanzania
09 Jun
Azam
8 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 61:18 | 78 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 75:17 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:29 | 59 |
| 4 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 35:26 | 55 |
| 5 | Namungo | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:33 | 40 |
| 6 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 7 | Geita Gold | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 8 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 29:38 | 37 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 26:37 | 37 |
| 10 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:45 | 35 |
| 11 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 25:31 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 15 | Polisi Tanzania | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Ruvu Shooting | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 19:42 | 20 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)
