Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mwalimu S.
(Penalty)
59'
Sub
Yusufu O. In: Makoye J.
Out: Yusufu O.
66'
Akandwanaho J.

AI Match Summary

Simba host TRA United in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Simba have averaged 2.63 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against TRA United's 0.75 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Simba have won 4 to TRA United's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (2.06 - 0.50) back Simba to edge this. Simba in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Simba
6%
Draws
4%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Simba has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to TRA United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Simba.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligi Kuu Bara provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
TRA United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba TRA United
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 27 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 0 10
Goals Scored 2.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Federation Cup
Simba vs TRA United
4:0
Apr 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Simba
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs TRA United
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Simba
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs TRA United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Maema N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kagoma Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 95 / 100
TRA United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba TRA United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba scored in 89% of their last 35 games.

TRA United let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

TRA United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS TRA United
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539