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Sinenkani vs Free State Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2021/2022
Sat, Feb 12, 2022
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Mkhize S.
89' Event
Sekola M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sinenkani in this Nedbank Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sinenkani
25%
Draws
35%
Free State Stars
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sinenkani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sinenkani haven't matched Free State Stars's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Free State Stars arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sinenkani, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sinenkani Clean Sheet 16%
Free State Stars Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinenkani Free State Stars
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 10
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 2 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Nedbank Cup
Sinenkani vs Free State Stars
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sinenkani Compare

Top Goalscorer Mkhize S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Free State Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinenkani 31 / 100
Free State Stars 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinenkani Free State Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Free State Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Free State Stars has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sinenkani's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Sinenkani has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sinenkani VS Free State Stars
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sinenkani

(Home)
12 Mar
Sinenkani
0 : 3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
12 Feb
Sinenkani
2 : 1
Free State Stars

Free State Stars

(Away)
15 May
Venda
1 : 1
Free State Stars
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1
Polokwane City
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2
Free State Stars
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1
Black Leopards
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0
Free State Stars
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Swallows FC -
TBD -
TS Sporting 3
JDR Stars 1
Royal AM -
TBD -
TBD -
Cape Town City -
Venda 3
Pretoria Callies 1
TBD -
African All Stars -
Pretoria U. 2
Hungry Lions 1
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Richards Bay 1
Polokwane City 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
NC Professionals -
TBD -
TBD -
Mathaithai -
Jomo Cosmos 0
Uthongathi 1
TBD -
Summerfield Dynamos -
Black Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
Sivutsa -
Sinenkani -
TBD -
Black Leopards 1
Free State Stars 2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 2
Cape Town All Stars 1
TBD -
Golden Arrows -
Platinum City 3
Cape Town Spurs 2
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Supersport Utd -
Marumo Gallants -
TBD -
TBD -
Santos -
Orlando Pirates -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Kaizer Chiefs -
TBD -
TBD -
TS Galaxy -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Baroka -
1/16-finals
Swallows FC 2
TS Sporting 1
Royal AM 2
Cape Town City 1
Venda 3
African All Stars 1
Pretoria U. 2
Chippa Utd. 0
Richards Bay 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 4
NC Professionals 0
Mathaithai 2
Uthongathi 0
Summerfield Dynamos 1
Black Eagles 3
Sivutsa 2
Sinenkani 2
Free State Stars 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 2
Golden Arrows 1
Platinum City 2
Sekhukhune 1
Durban City 0
Supersport Utd 1
Marumo Gallants 2
Santos 0
Orlando Pirates 1
AmaZulu 0
Kaizer Chiefs 0
TS Galaxy 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Baroka 1
1/8-finals
Swallows FC 0
Royal AM 1
Venda 3
Pretoria U. 4
Mamelodi Sundowns 6
Mathaithai 0
Summerfield Dynamos 1
Black Eagles 0
Sinenkani 0
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 3
Platinum City 0
Supersport Utd 1
Marumo Gallants 2
Orlando Pirates 1
TS Galaxy 1
Baroka 2
Quarter-finals
Royal AM 3
Pretoria U. 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 5
Summerfield Dynamos 0
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 3
Supersport Utd 2
Marumo Gallants 1
Baroka 0
Semi-finals
Royal AM 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 0
Marumo Gallants 1
Final
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Marumo Gallants 1